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Prediction markets

19 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng99%9 more
$879KVol. Jul 30science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

5000+99%
2500+99%5 more
$40KVol. Jul 31science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest68%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest20%2 more
$132KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

50%

chance

YesNo
$19KVol. Aug 2science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

0
1%YesNo
1
59%YesNo
$26KVol. Aug 3science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

5-6"
5-6"39%
4-5"
4-5"35%4 more
$43KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$124KVol. Mar 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

August 30
August 3049%
December 31
December 3140%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.25–1.29ºC
1.25–1.29ºC28%
>1.29ºC
>1.29ºC26%4 more
$794.22Vol. Sep 1science
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

80-99
80-9925%
100–119
100–11925%7 more
$533.71Vol. Sep 1science
Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5"
<0.5"93%
0.5-1"
0.5-1"6%5 more
$5.3KVol. Jul 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

100–12954%
130–15943%7 more
$2.7KVol. Aug 1science